Market pros track the spread between longer-duration Treasury yields and shorter-duration yields, with the former typically higher. However, the 2-year Treasury yield climbed 15 basis points to 2.967% on Wednesday, holding above the 10-year. That so-called inversion, particularly if sustained, is often interpreted as a warning sign that the economy may be weakening, and a … Read more
US Treasury yields were higher early on Wednesday after a volatile day on Wall Street, but the closely watched 2-year / 10-year yield curve remained inverted, a key recession warning. At around 2:45 am ET, the yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note climbed one base point to 2,824%, while the yield on the 30-year … Read more
The bond market is flashing a warning that the economy may be falling or has already fallen into recession, according to one closely watched measure. Market pros watch the spread on the Treasury yield curve, or the difference between the longer duration Treasury yields and shorter duration yields. Normally, longer duration yields, like the yield … Read more
A growing number on Wall Street are talking up the risk of a recession, with Goldman Sachs, Deutsche Bank and more all pointing to a higher probability of a downturn. “Economic data points indicate a higher probability of recession,” Morgan Stanley analysts said in a June 29 note. “Since the beginning of the year, we … Read more
Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. SNEEZE Investors are greeting the third quarter with greater trepidation about a recession, and that makes next Friday’s June jobs report a potentially bigger catalyst for markets than it might otherwise have been. The jobs report and Wednesday’s release of minutes from the Federal … Read more
Here are the most important news, trends and analysis that investors need to start their trading day: 1. Wall Street heads for its first weekly advance in the past four A trader works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, US, June 22, 2022. Brendan Mcdermid | Reuters … Read more
Here are the most important news, trends and analysis that investors need to start their trading day: 1. Wall Street set to bounce after S&P 500’s worst seek since 2020 The sign for Wall Street is seen with US flags outside the New York Stock Exchange. Yuki Iwamura | Afp | Getty Images Dow futures … Read more
Near-retirees who turned to target-date funds to build their nest eggs may want to rethink their retirement planning as stocks and bonds face sharp declines. The S&P 500, off by about 23% in 2022, is in bear market territory. Bonds are also taking their lumps, with the 10-year Treasury yield rising as high as 3.48% … Read more
Investors are “going to get hurt” if they’re in long duration bonds right now, says venture capitalist Kevin O’Leary. His comments come hours after the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 75 basis points – the central bank’s most aggressive hike since 1994. “I would not be buying bonds here,” O’Leary, who is chairman at … Read more
The 10-year Treasury yield rose to its highest level in more than a decade as investors continued to assess the prospect of the Federal Reserve taking the most aggressive step yet in its fight to lower soaring inflation. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note was last up 11 basis points to 3.483% as … Read more